WEATHER ALERT!!!

Hey my friends, I'd thought I'd take a moment to post a MOD RISK area issued for severe wx by the SPC. There could be a few ISOLATED tornados. |I know what your thinking, if not tornados, than what| Well, it's for what we in the weather world call an MCS, or Deracho. Deracho's can go for hundreds if not thouseneds of miles. There are often severe winds with an MCS, and will often enough propt what is called a PDS severe thunder storm watch. That means there is a HIGH risk for severe wind in that small area. We could see one of these today into tonight, but I doubt it.

" ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL

   WOUS40 KWNS 081229    NDZ000-SDZ000-082030-        PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK      NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK    0729 AM CDT WED JUL 08 2009        ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS    LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...        THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE    DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN    PLAINS LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.        THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE               CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA           MUCH OF SOUTH DAKOTA        ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ALSO ARE POSSIBLE FROM EASTERN MONTANA    ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND    EVENING...AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI    VALLEY REGION OVERNIGHT.        A MIDDLE-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC    NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND    EVENING.  MEANWHILE A RELATED COLD FRONT SHOULD PROGRESS EASTWARD    ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO A PROGRESSIVELY MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR    MASS.  THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN SUPPRESSED MOST OF THIS    AFTERNOON BY A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION OF WARM AIR ABOVE GROUND    LEVEL.  NONETHELESS...BECAUSE OF THE FAVORABLE LEVELS OF    MOISTURE...INSTABILITY...LIFT AND WIND SHEAR...WE EXPECT THIS CAP TO    BREAK OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND DAKOTAS...PERHAPS    AS EARLY AS LATE AFTERNOON.          SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND AND A FEW    TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AT FIRST.  THEN...SEVERE STORMS SHOULD GET    MORE NUMEROUS THIS EVENING...GROWING INTO A COMPLEX WITH POTENTIAL    FOR A WIDESPREAD AND LONG-LASTING THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE EVENT    KNOWN AS A DERECHO.  THE GREATEST THREAT AREA APPEARS TO BE OVER    PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS.  FOR MORE METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS PLEASE SEE    THE SPC CONVECTIVE DAY-1 OUTLOOK...WHICH IS BEING UPGRADED TO    WIND-BASED MDT RISK TO REFLECT THE THREAT.        STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING    SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE    WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA    WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER    TODAY."

Thats what the NWC is calling for today!